Lectern holds your papers, your marginalia, and the drafts they become —
bound into one quiet folio. The assistant is mono-set, ever-cited, never
in a hurry.
The aim of this book is to convince applied economists that the
dominant approach in modern empirical work — natural experiments,
instrumental variables, regression discontinuity — provides credible
answers to causal questions…
PUBLIC AFFAIRS · 2011
Poor Economics
Abhijit Banerjee · Esther Duflo
The most effective way to fight global poverty is not to debate grand
theories — it is to ask focused questions and answer them with
carefully designed field experiments…
AER · 84(4) · 1994
Minimum Wages and Employment
David Card · Alan B. Krueger
On April 1, 1992, New Jersey's minimum wage rose from $4.25 to $5.05
per hour. To evaluate the impact, we surveyed 410 fast-food
restaurants in New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania before and after
the rise…
LECTERN · ON THIS PAPER
Contrary to the textbook prediction, fast-food employment in New Jersey rose slightly relative to Pennsylvania after the wage increase [p. 792].
✻
THREE MOTIONS
Read. Mark. Write.
A paper is read once, marked twice, written about a hundred times. Lectern
makes each motion feel like the same motion — a hand moving across paper.
I.
Read
Your library is a folio of bound volumes — papers, working drafts, book
chapters, documents. Sort by theme, by venue, by what you've actually
finished. The PDF is one click away; so is the chat.
Drag a PDF in. Lectern picks up the title, authors, DOI.
Themes nest. So does your reasoning.
Conversations are kept beside the paper they belong to.
II.
Mark
Every paper has a panel of marginalia — your notes, organised by the
prompt that occasioned them. Summary, key claims, limitations, anything you invent. A backlinks tab shows where
this paper has been cited by your other notes.
Markdown editor with @-mentions.
Citation keys resolve back to the paper, every time.
Highlights live next to the original passage.
III.
Write
The writing room is a manuscript with seven fixed sections — intro · literature · data · method · findings · contribution · misc. Lectern drafts paragraphs from your library, every sentence sourced.
You revise; Lectern tightens.
Section tabs that read like a table of contents.
Cite from any paper in your library with a keystroke.
Suggestions, never assertions — the assistant proposes, you decide.
✻
THE LIBRARY
A library, kept.
Drag a PDF in. Paste a DOI. Lectern picks up the title, the authors, the
venue — then asks where on your shelf the paper belongs.
Themes nest as deeply as your reasoning. Conversations live beside the
paper they belong to. The library is a folio of bound volumes — every
one of them findable, every one of them indexed for the chat.
THEME · 24 PAPERS
The Credibility Revolution
The papers that turned applied economics into a question of
identification rather than of theory.
1979
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
Heckman · Econometrica
indexed
1994
Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects
Imbens · Angrist · Econometrica
indexed
2007
Using Randomization in Development Economics Research
Duflo · Glennerster · Kremer · Handbook of Dev. Econ.
scanning…
2010
Minimum Wage Effects Across State Borders
Dube · Lester · Reich · Rev. Econ. Stat.
indexed
+ DROP A PDFor paste a DOI
MARGINALIA · CONVERSATION
Mark it. Then ask.
Every passage you mark is a question waiting to be asked. Lectern keeps
your marginalia bound to the page — your notes by prompt, your
highlights with the passage they belong to.
And when you'd rather hear the answer than write it, the same passage
is one keystroke from a conversation. The reply is backed by passages Lectern
has actually read in your papers — never the rest of the internet, never half-remembered.
Nothing written without a source.
…Contrary to the central prediction of the textbook model, we find no evidence that the rise in New Jersey's minimum wage reduced
employment at fast-food restaurants in the state.
The same passage — now in conversation
LECTERNCARD & KRUEGER (1994) · 187 chunks
What did Card & Krueger find about minimum wage in New Jersey?
They compared employment in fast-food restaurants in New Jersey
before and after the April 1992 minimum-wage increase, against a
control group in eastern Pennsylvania where the wage was unchanged [p. 772]. Contrary to the textbook prediction that higher wages reduce
employment, New Jersey employment rose slightly relative to
Pennsylvania [p. 792]. The
natural-experiment design reframed forty years of received wisdom
about the labour market — and seeded what Angrist later called the credibility revolution.
3 sources · drew from this paper
1
…We examine the experiences of New Jersey and Pennsylvania
fast-food restaurants in the months following the rise of the New
Jersey minimum from $4.25 to $5.05 per hour.
p. 7720.91
2
…Contrary to the central prediction of the textbook model, we find
no evidence that the rise in New Jersey's minimum wage reduced
employment at fast-food restaurants in the state.
p. 7920.83
3
…Indeed, the relative-employment effect we estimate is slightly
positive, though imprecisely measured — a result we view as
broadly consistent with the absence of a disemployment effect.
p. 7930.76
THE WRITING ROOM
A manuscript in your own hand.
Drafting is the slow part. Lectern makes it feel less lonely — your
library is in the room, your citations are at hand, your sections are
laid out like a table of contents.
MANUSCRIPT · credibility-revolution-essay
Notes from the Credibility Revolution, an essay
§ III. Data
# Corpus
The reference papers for this essay are @cardkrueger1994's New Jersey study, paired with @banerjeeduflo2011's account of randomised trials in development economics.
The methodological frame is taken from @angristpischke2009 (see @credibility-revolution-essay) — specifically the chapters on instrumental variables and regression discontinuity.
I read the three together; what reads in 1994 as a single, surprising result becomes, by 2019, the dominant grammar of applied empirical economics.
✦LECTERN
The folio awaits.
Bring a paper, a question, an unfinished paragraph. Lectern will be ready.